Pertemps Final Handicap Hurdle Date is March, 12, 2020
Type: Grade 3 Handicap Hurdle Race (3 miles)
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Pertemps Final Handicap Hurdle 2020 Preview & Tips
Preview By Frank Monkhouse
Former professional boxer who is now a content writer specialising in sports and betting. Has worked for some of the biggest names in the industry, including Coral and Betfair covering all manner of sports, from boxing and football to horse racing. A student of the formbook, he loved stats, trends, numbers and how they can guide punters towards a winner.
As a standalone race this is a Grade 3 handicap hurdle run over three miles on the New Course and featuring twelve flights of hurdles, but it is part of a series fed by eight qualifying races staged around England, Ireland and France.
The final itself will be worth £100,000 and is one of the major betting events of the whole week, giving it huge significance with punters as well as with those directly responsible for the runners of which there can be up to 24.
This is a race famous for huge gambles, some of them public and some of them created by trainers and owners who have attempted to lay their horses out for this race, with the Pertemps Final 2020 promising to be just as hot as ever.
Antepost Key Runners & Favourites
Entries are of course not yet complete for the Pertemps Hurdle 2020 and there’s a long way to go, but with some feeder races having already been run certain bookmakers are already showing ante post prices for the event and from those, we can make some tentative early selections.
As well as not knowing who will even take part come March 12th, we don’t know what handicap rating they will have by then and therefore what weight they’ll carry relative to each other, but on the little information we have and the prices offered up, a few contenders do stand out.
French-bred Dream Berry, trained by Jonjo O’Neill for JP McManus, entered calculations when he returned from over a year out with a fine runner-up effort at Sandown in a qualifier. While it’s possible to get these horses fully fit first time up these days, it remains more likely that this eight-year-old will come on plenty for that run and so could be in decent shape by the time March rolls around.
Diomede Des Mottes
Diomede Des Mottes of Dan Skelton’s yard is only a six-year-old with ten hurdle races behind him, so as long as he can handle the rough and tumble of this race over three miles given his inexperience then it would be safe to assume that he has tons of improvement in him yet.
His last run at Haydock wasn’t too grand but before that he’d been climbing the ranks nicely, his best effort being his second to Skandiburg in a qualifier at Aintree. He may be given a little rest now to protect his handicap rating, but he definitely has the qualities needed to take a big hand in this event.
Diomede Des Motte’s conqueror at Liverpool, Skandiburg, is an even younger hurdler with an obvious profile. The five-year-old of Olly Murphy’s has been taking big strides, but has also gone up 10lbs since beginning his season and once again, his handler may want to just look after him a little now.
Six-year-old Geordie B is an interesting contender for Venetia Williams following the grey’s easy novice hurdle win at Exeter back in March. Up to that point he’d risen from rather lowly levels of the sport, but having not been fully pressed since gaining the winning thread we don’t know where the bottom of this horse is as yet.
He appears to get better with racing so the fact that he started this season with a somewhat underwhelming 6¾-length fourth place in a qualifier at Sandown is of no concern and if anything, it just means he will not climb the ratings too quickly. Should the ground be soft enough on the big day, he’d surely warrant plenty of support.
Perhaps the most interesting of the lot at this very early stage, if it’s not too obvious a call, is the potentially very well-handicapped Party Playboy who sprung to prominence in this market after winning so easily at Fairyhouse in late November.
He may need to gather some more experience between now and then which will in turn potentially mean his handicap mark rising, but currently based on what he has achieved and his projected rate of improvement, he could have a good deal of weight in hand come the big day which counts more than any other factor.
Check out our Cheltenham Festival Betting Guide for the list of TOP 15 betting sites to place a bet on upcoming Festival.
Pertemps Final Stats & Trends
The most successful current jockey in this race is Davy Russell with three wins, though they were achieved in successive years for two different trainers and it would be folly to assume things means anything tangible.
As for handlers, the most successful trainer is Jonjo O’Neill with four successes between 1991 and 2013 and it’s possible he could have another well handicapped sort being readied for a crack at this event.
This Season’s Form
While in such tight handicap races blindly following horses who appear to be in good current form is an easy way to the poor house, in the Pertemps Final it has been rather different in recent times.
Buena Vista, who as we’ll discover is an anomaly in terms of age as well, clearly just loved this race and if taking him and Cape Tribulation out of the equation we see that six of the last seven runners were placed before running here, last year’s winner Sire Du Berlais not having been but as favourite was obviously expected to go well anyway.
Buena Visa simply loved the conditions of this race and didn’t need to be young or even in form, but the others have all been aged 6-8 with the exception of five-year-old Delta Work. So, while there’s no clear and obvious pattern here, horses aged between six and eight do seem to be able to peak at the right time.
Only two favourites have won this in the last ten years and that is a statistic that would surprise nobody. However, the average SP of Pertemps Final winners in this decade is just 12/1 with 8 out of 10 winners going off at between 4/1 and 16/1 so we seem to have a fair idea of there the most likely winner will come from in the market.
Horses aged 6-8, probably having been placed last time and likely no higher than around 14/1 in the betting would have the ideal profile for this event.
Pertemps Final Tips
This of course is a frightfully competitive division so if we were to look through the form, breeding, ground dependency, preferred distance, trainer form and track preference of up to 100 horses we would be analysing this race forever.
Instead with such competitive events it is best to stick to the simple things, and in such fiercely fought handicaps that means finding horses who we believe are carrying the wrong weight.
Getting horses to the Cheltenham Festival well handicapped is an artform, something we believe Irish trainer Anthony Mullins will do just fine at and so given the giant leaps in form shown so far by PARTY PLAYBOY we can only assume there is a lot more to come from him.
Having stayed on well over 2m4f at Fairyhouse he gave the impression of a horse that wants three miles, so it could pay to take a chance on the trip and the undulations of Cheltenham bringing the very best out of this five-year-old.
Similar to a certain extent is GEORDIE B and while he doesn’t look to have the potential of as much in hand on the handicap as Party Playboy at this stage, he is a bigger price and that has to be taken into consideration from an each-way point of view, especially if non-runner, no bet is being offered. bet365 currently has these two horses available at 16/1 and 25/1 respectively.
Pertemps Final Handicap Hurdle Ante Post Bets: PARTY PLAYBOY & GEORDIE B
Pertemps Network Final Offers
Last year’s deals were almost too numerous to count as bookmakers attempted to push and shove their way to the front in terms of getting customers, especially new ones, to bet with them during the busiest wagering week of the year.
While we don’t yet know what Cheltenham Festival offers online firms will be handing us, taking a look at twelve months ago certainly whets the appetite a little.
Paddy Power as usual were in the vanguard with such deals, one of theirs being the £20 Risk Free Bet – Money Back in Cash if it Loses offer while 888Sport were giving enhanced odds on specific horses, something they’d be likely to do in a big betting race such as this one so keep looking out for that.
Pertemps Final Betting Guide
Both in terms of bookmaker offers and in nailing down much more positive selections, when the final declarations are made for this race on Tuesday March 10th, we can be a lot more accurate with our selections.
Ante post wise, Pertemps Handicap Hurdle tips are based on potential and little information but in all fairness this is reflected in bookmaker’s odds, so getting on now at prices such as 25/1 to small stakes can still prove to be very worthwhile, particularly if your bookie is offering a ‘non-runner, no bet’ deal.
Past Pertemps Final Winners
Looking at the last ten winners of this race is always interesting, especially in trying to spot patterns in the successful horses’ profiles:
|2019||Sire Du Berlais||86||7||4/1f||Barry Geraghty||Gordon Elliott|
|2018||Delta Work||33243||5||6/1||Davy Russell||Gordon Elliott|
|2017||Presenting Percy||411541||6||11/1||Davy Russell||Pat Kelly|
|2016||Mall Dini||4631433||6||14/1||Davy Russell||Pat Kelly|
|2015||Call The Cops||41||6||9/1||Andrew Tinkler||Nicky Henderson|
|2014||Fingal Bay||1||8||9/2f||Richard Johnson||Philip Hobbs|
|2013||Holywell||222||6||25/1||Richie McLernon||Jonjo O’Neill|
|2012||Cape Tribulation||5P504||8||14/1||Denis O’Regan||Malcolm Jefferson|
|2011||Buena Vista||728700||10||20/1||Conor O’Farrell||David Pipe|
|2010||Buena Vista||8508||9||16/1||Hadden Frost||David Pipe|
What Happened in 2019?
A full field of 24 horses went to post for the 2019 running of the Pertemps Network Handicap Hurdle and as ever it was virtual war in the betting jungle at Cheltenham.
Much was expected of horses such as Cuneo, First Assignment and Aaron Lad but it perhaps should not have been too much of a surprise to see the favourite going well considering that Sire Du Berlais was so strong in the Pertemps Hurdle betting that he’d touched as low as 7/2, eventually going off at 4/1.
Things were close in the end though, Gordon Elliott’s runner just about lasting home from 40/1 shot Tobefair by a neck to wild celebrations.